Juggling With Knives: Profits, protection and planning for volatility in stocks, bonds, real estate, and real life.

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Jubak’s Picks

Stocks for a
12-18 Month Horizon


Performance

2019
+10.2%

2018
+10.2%

2017
+13.2%

Since Inception
+584%

Top 50 Stocks

50 Best Stocks in the World


Performance

2019
+21.19%

2018
-8.22%

2017
+28.1%

2016
+21.5%

Dividend Income

Stocks That Pay You


Performance

2021
+18.59%

2020
+15.71%

2019
+4.90% 

2018
-15.52% 

2017
+6.48% 

 2016
+26.8%

Volatility

Exploiting Temporary Market Trends


Performance 2017:
+53.06%

Perfect 5 ETFs

Active/Passive Portfolio


Performance since
October 2017

+23.46%

This website is based on my book, Juggling with Knives. Both the book and website are about volatility in everything from stocks and bonds to real estate, and real life topics such as jobs and education.

This website keeps the content of the book fresh and the advice and strategies up to date. If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a one-year free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE SUBSCRIPTION when you Subscribe on this website.

I run two other investing websites, Jubak Picks and Jubak Asset Management. So how does Juggling With Knives fit in that group? With a subscription at $79 a year you get everything that appears on my free JubakPicks.com website (1 to 2 posts a day plus buys/sells/updates on three portfolios) plus an additional 1 or 2 posts a day, including a special post on volatility on most days, plus access to my new Volatility Portfolio. My premium site, Jubak Asset Management, JubakAM.com to its friends, offers for $199 a year everything on Jubak Picks, plus everything on Juggling With Knives, plus exclusive posts that include Sector Monday, Friday Trick or Trend, Saturday Night Quarterback, and my daily Notes You Can Use Mini Blog. Oh, and videos where my smiling face explains the markets. If you’d like to step up to a JubakAm.com subscription click here. (You’ll get full credit for what you paid to subscribe to Juggling With Knives.)

Post of the Month

These are the Free once-per-month posts for non-subscribers.
Click Here to view all of Jim’s daily posts!

Watch my YouTube video on why this very stretched market will hang in for another six months

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We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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Watch my YouTube video on what Apple and Microsoft’s moves on Intel mean for technology stocks

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We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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Oil falls to lowest level in five months; Brent breaks below $60 a barrel

This page is for Subscribers.

We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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China promises to cut taxes, increase spending to stimulate economy

This page is for Subscribers.

We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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Ominous weakening today, September 6, below the surface in U.S. stocks

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We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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storm

This market’s volatility puzzle–it’s as if investors and traders don’t think risk is climbing in the general market

This page is for Subscribers.

We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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Next earnings season test after Netflix? Microsoft

This page is for Subscribers.

We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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I’m buying the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF in my Perfect 5 Portfolio today

This page is for Subscribers.

We’ll share all of our Posts and our Live Public Portfolios with you!

Sign Up for a subscription and you can view everything on the Juggling With Knives website. (If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE subscription).

Plus, you’ll get Jim’s Volatility Email Update each evening at 8:00pm.

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Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Cheniere Energy

Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Cheniere Energy

My Quick Pick this week is Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquified natural gas producer that I currently own in my Volatility Portfolio on JubakAM.com and plan to add to my Jubak Picks portfolio as well. The stock has fallen as U.S. natural gas prices have taken a hit after a fire at the Freeport liquified natural gas facility that has caused a backup in U.S. LNG exports. I think it’s a great time to get in on this long-term story at Cheniere, which just announced that it had given the go-ahead to the construction of a new LNG chain at its Corpus Christi facility. That chain won’t be in operation until 2025 but I see the demand for U.S. LNG continuing to rise through then.

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The speculative money is alive and “well” during Bear Market rally days

The speculative money is alive and “well” during Bear Market rally days

Friday, June 17, was a modestly up day for most of the indexes. The Standard & Poor’s 500, for example, gained 0.22% and the NASDAQ was up a stronger 1.43%. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.13% on the day.) But you’d never know that the indexes were up only modestly if you checked the gains on the most speculative stocks in the market. Meme favorites GameStop (GME) and AMC Entertainment (AMC) were up 7.48% and 6.28%, respectively. But the speculative gains didn’t stop there.

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It’s a war of two narratives–today “recession” narrative replaces “rate cut” narrative and stocks fall heavily

It’s a war of two narratives–today “recession” narrative replaces “rate cut” narrative and stocks fall heavily

Yesterday, the stock market was up with the Standard & Poor’s 500 gaining 1.46% on the day and the NASDAQ Composite up 2.49%. Listening to the Federal Reserve’s policy statement after the June 15 meeting of its Open Market Committee, Wall Street chose to hear a promise of interest rate cuts as early as the end of 2023 and certainly in 2023. Aggressive interest rate increases in 2022, from this perspective, are just a necessary precondition to those interest rate cuts. Today, the stock market is down with the Standard & Poor’s 500 falling 3.25% and the NASDAQ Composite off 4.08% at the close. The narrative on investors’ and traders’ minds today is the rising odds of a recession–75% odds in favor by 2024 a Bloomberg survey of economists says with 25% odds of a recession in 2023. For a day that trumps the hopes for 2024 interest rate cuts (which would, after all, only materialize if the economy has, indeed, tumbled into recession. I expect this “War of the Two Narratives” to continue for a while

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Alcoa Call Options seeing action ahead of July 21 earnings report

Alcoa Call Options seeing action ahead of July 21 earnings report

I’m seeing a lot of traders buying Alcoa (AA) Call Options ahead of the company’s July 21 earnings report. The action seems to be most concentrated on the $70 October 21 Call at $75. The stock closed at $64.10 today, June 6, up 3.53%. I think the Call Buying is a result of the very big spread in estimates for second quarter earnings with the high estimate at $4.01 and the lost at $3.19. The consensus for the quart is at $3.66. That would be a huge gain from the $1.49 reported in the second quarter of 2021.

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Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Picks Wyndham Hotels

Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Picks Wyndham Hotels

My one-hundredth-and-thirty-fortieth YouTube video “Quick Pick Wyndham” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is Wyndham Hotels (WH), which owns a large portion (40%) of the U.S. market in branded economy and midscale hotels. This is gearing up to be a big summer for travel as the economy emerges from the pandemic, and I think inflationary pressures will “encourage” many consumers who decide to travel to look to save a buck or two on their trips. I will add shares of Wyndham Hotels and Resorts to my Volatility Portfolio on Monday, June 6

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EU agrees to partial ban–66%–of Russian oil imports

EU agrees to partial ban–66%–of Russian oil imports

The European Union has finally found a way to agree on a partial ban on oil imports from Russia. The group has agreed to an immediate ban on imports arriving by sea. That covers about two-thirds of Russian imports. To get Hungary’s vote for the partial ban, the EU agreed to exempt oil transported through the Druzhba pipeline.

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Palo Alto Networks beats, raised guidance again, gains 10.7% in after-hours trading

Palo Alto Networks beats, raised guidance again, gains 10.7% in after-hours trading

I’m actually surprised that shares of cyber-security company Palo Alto Networks (PANW) rose only 10.7% in after-hours trading after the company reported adjusted fiscal third quarter earnings of $1.79 a share. That was ahead of the adjusted earnings of $1.68 a share expected by analysts and it was up from $1.38 a share in the fiscal third quarter of 2021. Revenue of $1.39 billion, up from $1.07 billion a year ago, was ahead of analyst projections of $1.38 billion. Billings rose to $1.8 billion from $1.27 billion in 2021. But the big news, the news that powered the after-hours gains, came when executives at Palo Alto raised their full-year outlook for the third time in as many quarters

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Everything EV was up today on news of soaring new registrations

Everything EV was up today on news of soaring new registrations

New registrations for electric vehicles jumped 60% in the first quarter of 2022 from the first quarter of 2021. according to Experian Automotive. Electric vehicles made up an all-time record 4.6% of the total market. The news was even more positive given that overall new vehicle registrations were down 18% in the quarter from the first quarter of 2021.

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Stock Trader's Almanac Best Investing Book 2016

Juggling With Knives

This website is based on my book, Juggling with Knives. Both the book and website are about volatility in everything from stocks and bonds to real estate, and real life topics such as jobs and education.

This website keeps the content of the book fresh and the advice and strategies up to date. If you've purchased the book, you've earned a one year free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your FREE subscription when you Subscribe on this website.

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