Juggling With Knives: Profits, protection and planning for volatility in stocks, bonds, real estate, and real life.
This website is based on my book, Juggling with Knives. Both the book and website are about volatility in everything from stocks and bonds to real estate, and real life topics such as jobs and education.
This website keeps the content of the book fresh and the advice and strategies up to date. If you’ve purchased the book, you’ve earned a one-year free subscription. Use the Coupon Code in the book to start your one-year FREE SUBSCRIPTION when you Subscribe on this website.
I run two other investing websites, Jubak Picks and Jubak Asset Management. So how does Juggling With Knives fit in that group? With a subscription at $79 a year you get everything that appears on my free JubakPicks.com website (1 to 2 posts a day plus buys/sells/updates on three portfolios) plus an additional 1 or 2 posts a day, including a special post on volatility on most days, plus access to my new Volatility Portfolio. My premium site, Jubak Asset Management, JubakAM.com to its friends, offers for $199 a year everything on Jubak Picks, plus everything on Juggling With Knives, plus exclusive posts that include Sector Monday, Friday Trick or Trend, Saturday Night Quarterback, and my daily Notes You Can Use Mini Blog. Oh, and videos where my smiling face explains the markets. If you’d like to step up to a JubakAm.com subscription click here. (You’ll get full credit for what you paid to subscribe to Juggling With Knives.)
Buying MGM Puts on today’s bounce: Prologue to my Special Report My Special Report “Your Investing Guide for the Next Six Dangerous Stock Market Months” with 10 investment moves for a crazy, crazy market.
I’m not waiting until I post on my JubakAsset Management site all of my newest Special Report: “Your Investing Guide for the Next Six Dangerous Stock Market Months with 10 investment moves for a crazy, crazy market” to make this buy on the MGM Resorts International (MGM) Puts with a strike price of $20 and a December 18 expiration. The underlying stock closed at $21.65 today, up 2.63%. I’ll be adding these Puts (MGM201218P00020000) to my Volatility Portfolio tomorrow.
Yesterday shares of Vaxart (VXRT) were up 46.79%. Today they’re down 16.13% as of noon in New York. And, of course the shares are down 55.38% since I bought them on July 22, 2020 at $14.79. Why so much, such extraordinary volatility?
Just want to make sure that everyone caught this sell decision that I made first on my subscription JubakAM.com website. I’m selling Agenus (AGEN) and Amyris (AMRS) out of both my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios.
First, there was the Powell Put, the conviction of Wall Street and investors that the Federal Reserve would ride to the rescue to support stock prices if financial markets or the economy threatened to tumble. And then, of course, there’s the second Put, the Vaccine Put, which prevents bad economic news from gaining much traction and lets individual stocks shake off company-specific negative news.
Spot gold hit an all-time high today to close at $1991.40 an ounce. In July gold rose 11%, the most since 2012. And now even investors and traders who never own gold are looking at the metal and say, “Should I buy? Will it rally some more?” In my opinion it’s late to jump on the band wagon. Gold isn’t about to correct, at least not in the short term, but the big driver for higher gold prices–the weak U.S. dollar–looks closer to a reversal than to another extended move lower. For the near term, I’d look to be a seller with an eye toward buying when the dollar has played out a limited upward move.
The Chinese economy returned to growth in the second quarter with gross domestic product climbing 3.2% in the quarter from the June quarter of 2019. That was a recovery from the 6.8% drop in GDP in the first quarter and the results beat projections for 2.4% growth. Nonetheless, stocks fell in Shanghai and Shenzhen today with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite dropping 4.5% and the CSI 300 index falling 4.81%. As is frequently the case in the Chinese stock markets, driven as they are by individual investors, the money followed pronouncements from state-own media.
So how much worse will things get for Wells Fargo? Continuing to hold my Put Options but maybe taking a little profit
On today’s bad news from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and, especially, Wells Fargo (WFC), the Wells Fargo Put Options (WFC201016P00025000) I hold in my Volatility Portfolio had gained 20.62% to $3.10 as of 2 p.m. New York time today. That still leaves this position underwater since I added these Puts (strike price $25) to the portfolio back on April 6, 2020 at $3.70. But these Puts still have a long time to run
“I don’t think anybody should leave any bank earnings call this quarter simply feeling like the worst is absolutely behind us and it’s a rosy path ahead,” Citigroup (C) CEO Michael Corbat said this morning as he announced the bank’s second quarter earnings. “We don’t want people leaving the call simply thinking the world is a great place and it’s a V-shaped recovery.”
Disney parks re-open in Florida as state hits record new coronavirus cases; Hong Kong park closes again
On Sunday, Florida reported the highest single-day total of new coronavirus cases by any state since the start of the pandemic. The 15,299 new cases surpassed the previous high for any state on a single day of 12,274 recorded in New York on April 4. The record comes just one day after Disney re-opened its Magic Kingdom and Animal Kingdom parks in Orlando.
Wells Fargo (WFC) will cut thousands of jobs later this year, Bloomberg reported today. The bank, the largest employers among U.S. banks, is facing intense pressure to cut costs. So far in the coronavirus economic downturn,U.S. banks have resisted large-scale layoffs. Could the move by Wells Fargo be a turning point for the sector?