Juggling With Knives: Profits, protection and planning for volatility in stocks, bonds, real estate, and real life.
This website is based on my book, Juggling with Knives. Both the book and website are about volatility in everything from stocks and bonds to real estate, and real life topics such as jobs and education.
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Hold off on those VIX hedges for a bit–a robust start to earnings season from the big banks this week could send the “fear index” even lower
Over the weekend I posted that I’d be looking at a possible buy of Call Options on the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) today–depending on how the VIX behaved in the Monday action. Today the VIX regained some of the ground that it gave up last week, closing ahead 1.92% to 1701 after closing at 16.69 on Friday. And I’m going to hold off on buying VIX Call Options until I see the trend in first quarter earnings reports.
Back on March 17, I added shares of Wyndham Hotels and Resorts (WH) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio because I thought the stock was among those issues most likely to climb in a "post-vaccine rally." Sine then the shares are up 3.39% as of 3 p.m. on April 7. But in my last...
The one certainty in the stock market right now, I’d say, is volatility. Both to the upside and to the downside. So I think we should take what the market is giving us. Using these three moves in the short term.
Shares of Chargepoint (CHPT) were up 15.40% as of 2:30 p.m. New York time today, March 31. Charging station competitor Blink Charging (BLNK) was up 8.69%. The big jump came on speculation that the Biden administration’s infrastructure plan with its emphasis on growing the number of electric vehicles in use would include incentives and money for expanding the woefully inadequate U.S. network of charging stations for electric cars.
Today, March 24, I’m going to add another hedge against a drop in stock prices, one that’s a more general market hedge against a more general market decline.
In my last installment on my JubakAM.com subscription site to my Special Report: Profit and Protect--What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021"--I added two hedges for volatility protection. The U.S. Copper Index Fund ETF (CPER) and the Invesco KBW Bank...
Before you get too excited by that headline, note that a 30% hike in the dividend at Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) will bring the payout to just 13 cents for the first quarter of 2021. But that’s still, as my grandmother used to say, better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. At the least it’s a vote of confidence by the company’s board of directors that they see strong revenue and earnings growth in the year ahead. Wheaton Precious Metals doesn’t actually do any mining itself. Instead it purchases a stream of production from miners of precious metals and cobalt.
Doing a little selling to raise some cash for potential bargains: Selling Invesco Yen ETF, JD.Com, and Vanguard Treasury ETF
Let’s be clear. I don’t have any idea of when the current selling in technology and high-valuation growth momentum stocks will end. It does seem likely to me, even after the March 9 bounce, that the rotation into cyclicals, vaccine recovery stocks, and value stocks will continue for a while. From that perspective, I’m glad that I added Invesco KBWB Bank ETF (KBWB), Vulcan Materials (VMC), Caterpillar (CAT), MGM Resorts International (MGM) and Coca Cola (KO) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio since the middle of February. And that I added Dow (DOW) and Citigroup (C) to my Dividend Portfolio in Mid-December. (All those picks are in the black since my purchase date. You can check the online portfolios to see by how much.) But now that the NASDAQ Composite has dropped into an official correction–down 10% from its February 12 high–I’d like to be holding some more cash in case
Yesterday tech tumbled but utilities, commodities like copper and even gold, and many “vaccine recovery” plays gained. Today almost everything is down.
Which to me is a sign that this now 6-day downturn is getting closer to an end. Right now, as of 1:30 a.m. in New York the NASDAQ is off another 2.32%. The brings the drop from the mid-february high to 6%. A little more than half way to a 10% correction. I don’t think we’re at the bottom yet. But I am looking for growth stories–which is not the same as “momentum growth stocks”–where the selling has created an opportunity.
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The eleventh YouTube video “Lessons from the Texas Winter Storm: How to Invest in the Energy Grid” went up today.